"A grandes problemas,
¡grandes soluciones!"
~ Nicolás Maduro
One area where proponents of technology customarily get trounced concerns the consideration of unintended consequences. (This is also regrettably true for most commentators.) It's not that people don't take them into account, but rather that when they do, those consequences are extrapolated out to such hyperbolic extremes as to make these scenarios essentially useless. It's much more appealing and click-friendly to sound the alarm that artificial intelligence will turn the entire planet into an ocean of paper clips than it is to think deeply about how AI already influences decisionmaking within our existing social systems. By the same token, it's easier to be terrified of sudden, wholesale unemployment wrought by automation, when, as I noted recently, the far likelier outcome is that we will coexist with technology for a good while yet, with automation eroding work in a gradual, almost invisible fashion. And this is notwithstanding the fact that that there is plenty of room for a well-informed skepticism that questions whether technological unemployment is happening in any appreciable way at all.
Similarly, when proponents of bitcoin, blockchain and distributed technologies advocate for a wave of technologically-driven decentralization, it's rarely described in terms less than messianic. Unintended consequences seem to have gotten only so far as admitting an overenthusiastic consumption of electricity. Now, one of the principal targets of this revolution is the perceived tyranny of the nation-state itself. Janina Lowisz, the (alleged) first holder of an ID that is written into the blockchain, said in an interview with Vice that:
The technology allows for a lot of new possibilities for replacing what the state provides—like, one option would be to offer government services in packages so people can pay for whatever services they're going to use. That's how government should work: Instead of paying taxes that get wasted on things you don't even want, this way you can have a free choice and see exactly where your money is going.
I'll graciously pass over the heartstopping naïveté of this sentiment, but it's worth noting that this model of 'government as a cable TV package subscription' has deep roots. It is a direct ideological descendant of the ur-text of techno-libertarianism, John Perry Barlow's A Declaration of the Independence of Cyberspace, the charismatic and hopelessly romantic 1996 manifesto that Barlow delivered in Davos, of all places. For the purposes of this essay, I have pulled out the following bits:
Governments derive their just powers from the consent of the governed. You have neither solicited nor received ours…You have not engaged in our great and gathering conversation, nor did you create the wealth of our marketplaces…We will create a civilization of the Mind in Cyberspace. May it be more humane and fair than the world your governments have made before.
Blockchain technologies pretty much take dead aim at fulfilling this mandate. Bitcoin's fair face, and the 1,518 ships that it has thus far launched, revel in the notion of decentralized authority. Political vicissitudes cannot devalue these aspiring currencies, and, in their purest forms, transacting in them means immunity from censorship or any other regulatory or even geopolitical restrictions. Except, no one has really thought to ask the nation-states what they think about this.
