Via Crooked Timber, Contrapositive has a cheat-sheet for the Presidential election results, what’s expected by each camp, what each needs, and what to look for by every half hour of election night. Illuminating; though, the bottom reads “Bush needs: 266” electoral college votes (269 for each candidate is a tie, and heaven help us if it goes to the House).
The first clear sign to look for:
But first and foremost: If Bush wins New Jersey, it’s over. Find a bad movie on cable, break out the booze, and cry yourself to sleep.
And in Pennsylvania: If Kerry is down here, it’ll be wise to at least keep the booze close at hand.
But it’s really hard to imagine that New Jersey would go to Bush.