by Malcolm Murray

For years, the AI conversation has revolved around two acronyms: AGI, artificial general intelligence, and ASI, artificial superintelligence. Will we get AGI by 2030? Is ASI possible at all? The problem is that nobody agrees what either term means. Depending on who you ask, AGI has either already arrived or is decades away. A term that can mean anything does very little work, and both have become less useful the closer we get to them.
What is turning out to be far more useful is a third acronym: RSI, or recursive self-improvement. AI systems are now good enough to do a large share of the work of building the next AI system. If that share keeps growing, at some point AI is improving AI, with humans contributing less and less, and potentially eventually without humans in the loop at all. Each generation builds a better successor, faster than the one before. Unlike AGI, RSI is something we can actually measure. And the latest measurements startlingly suggest Anthropic is closer than expected.
The view from inside Anthropic
On November 2, Anthropic filed a revised version of its IPO prospectus. Buried in the risk factors was a remarkable sentence: the company’s internal estimates “indicate that we may imminently meet” its own threshold for “dramatically accelerated progress attributable to AI.” Anthropic also wrote that it does not expect to be able to safely let Claude build successive generations of itself “without meaningful human supervision or understanding.” Companies don’t usually say things like that to investors.
Three days later, METR, the independent AI evaluation organization, published its assessment of AI R&D acceleration at Anthropic. METR’s staff spent almost three months with high-level access inside the company. Their headline finding was that Anthropic is likely improving its models at roughly twice the rate it did between early 2024 and late 2025, and that most of that speedup likely comes from Anthropic using its own AI in research. They also found no significant bottlenecks that would stop this over the next twelve months, though they have low confidence in this. Read more »

“Hilarius Bookbinder’s Scriptorium Philosophia” might sound like the working title of a sequel to Terry Gilliam’s “The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnasus”. It is rather a very interesting and entertaining Substack written pseudonymously by an American philosophy professor. It first came to my attention last year, when it caused a bit of a stir with a post entitled “The average college student today”, which detailed the author’s bleak experience with the current cohort of average undergraduates. This was followed by the author’s response to critics of that post, wherein he attests that the overwhelming majority of informed respondents (i.e. students or teachers in contemporary Western post-secondary institutions) said that their own experiences mirrored those of Dr. Bookbinder. To wit, that literacy, critical thinking, academic integrity, and work ethic among this generation of students has collapsed to the point where teachers have to drastically lower their work demands and achievement standards, or else imperil their careers by assigning failing grades to an institutionally unacceptable proportion of their pupils/clients/customers. Having not been in a post-secondary institution myself for over a decade, I can’t personally testify to the accuracy of his assessment, but it seems to jive with everything I’ve heard from personal acquaintances in primary and secondary education (what miracle do we expect to happen in the months between the end of high school and the beginning of university?), and the various academic philosophy blogs I peruse have swelled with robust concurrence of his account. I am not entirely distraught that my dreams of being a post-secondary philosophy teacher never panned out.
Theresa Hak Kyung Cha. A BLE W AIL, 1975.
Two years ago, in
particularly with regards to Israelis and Arabs, Jews and Muslims.
The TV show Heated Rivalry arrives on cinema screens this week, transforming it from a short six-episode TV season into a 5-hour cinematic experience. I for one can’t wait to sit with an audience in a darkened theater and share in Shane and Ilya’s steamy romance. For those of us who love the show, it has always been an epic, monumental narrative, taking an outsized role in our lives. But why? The success of the show has created a kind of mystery—what about this story made it such an undeniable cultural force? Let us compare it to another cultural force which has recently entered the public imagination: Homer’s Odyssey. I am setting aside Christopher Nolan’s version of the story (which I found disappointing) to look instead at Homer’s text, which offers some surprising parallels with our favorite TV hockey romance.
A couple of years ago I offered up 
I. The Practical Dilemma
Can you be betrayed by Donald Trump? If the Republican party indeed pays in seats for the war it watched its leader wage, it appears the reason is not the principled refusal of the American public to put up with authoritarian politics, but the perceived violation of its natural right to low fuel prices – the breaking of the president’s sacred promise to use his awesome powers only to hurt others. To call that a betrayal would be melodramatic; that concept derives all its force from a plausible prior belief in someone’s faithfulness or minimal ability to honor agreements, contracts, or oaths of office.



The quest for the answer to 