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November 08, 2011

The drumbeat for war with Iran

Tony Karon in Time:

Aircraftcarrier-500x357If the proverbial "drumbeat" for war with Iran has grown more insistent in recent weeks, it's about to turn into something akin to the opening bars of Black Sabbath's "Iron Man". That's because the International Atomic Energy Agency is expected, in a report on Iran's nuclear program due for release early this week, to suggest that the Islamic Republic's nuclear program may include a "possible military dimension", giving Tehran the means -- possibly with the help of foreign scientists -- to relatively quickly build nuclear weapons should it choose to do so.

The U.N. nuclear watchdog is expected to publish some evidence -- long ago shared among key international players -- suggesting that Iran may have in recent years conducted theoretical work on warhead design, and experiments on high-explosive triggering systems that don't appear to have any purpose outside of nuclear weapons development.

The buildup to the IAEA report has seen a dramatic uptick in media chatter, and spectacles staged for the media, suggesting that an Israeli attack on Iran is imminent. Over the weekend, Defense Minister Ehud Barak refused to rule out a military strike on Iran, while President Shimon Peres warned that "the possibility of a military attack against Iran is now closer to being applied than the application of a diplomatic option."

More here.

Posted by S. Abbas Raza at 04:56 PM | Permalink

Comments

The latest IAEA report on Iran increases the incredulity to its claims of purely power generating nuclear ambitions. Almost conclusively, the 'if' has now been replaced with 'when' in regard to a nuclear armed Iran, and the globe needs to come to grips with the situation.

The talk of strikes on Iran's facilities by the U.S and Israel are most likely short-term saber rattling and the greatest consequences will likely come in the mid-term from regional non-nuclear powers. The Sunni Arab gulf states will fear a nuclear Iran far more than a nuclear Israel and will pay a larger strategic price as regional power-plays continue. The most likely scenario is a string of nuclear-armed states stretching from Saudi to India by 2030 and a NPT in tatters.

Interesting article by Hoodbhoy in BAS.

http://www.thebulletin.org/web-edition/features/what-next-sunni-bomb

Posted by: Troy | Nov 9, 2011 1:58:10 AM

Some observations to the article: the experts that are against an Israeli strike are people that are no more up-to-date with information about Iran; they are private persons and ex-decisions makers. However their argument seems very logical. Probably the answer will be given the whole world: if sanctions and blockades will be applied to Iran forcing Iran to cease the development, Israel will not strike.
If it will be no sanctions against Iran, probably Israel will strike if odds are good.
“Don't fight a battle if you don't gain anything by winning. ”
― Erwin Rommel, Rommel: In His Own Words

Posted by: Mirel | Nov 9, 2011 6:17:05 AM

The oil wars ... gotta luv em ...

Posted by: Dredd | Nov 9, 2011 1:03:45 PM

Unfortunately we seem to be headed toward a war which could escalate toward something much more deadly, don't forget that Iran's key allies are Russia and China, do we really want a war where on one side we have Russia and China and the other the US, Israel and Britain. I don't think anyone wants to see this.

Posted by: Say NO to war with Iran | Feb 27, 2012 7:09:38 AM

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