January 29, 2011
Mubarak’s Last Breath
Frustration, shame, humiliation: it does not take much for Egyptians to call up these feelings. It’s still often said that ‘what happens in Egypt affects the entire Arab world,’ but nothing much has happened there in years. Egypt has fallen behind Saudi Arabia – not to mention non-Arab countries like Turkey and Iran – in regional leadership. Even tiny Qatar has a more independent foreign policy. Egypt is by far the largest Arab country, with 80 million inhabitants, yet it’s seen by most Arabs – and by the Egyptians themselves – as a client state of the United States and Israel, who depend on Mubarak to ensure regional ‘stability’ in the struggle with the ‘resistance front’ led by Iran. The liberalisation of Egypt’s economy – launched by Sadat’s Infitah (Open Door) policy in 1974 – has earned Mubarak praise from the World Bank. The 2007 constitution, purged of references to socialism, says that ‘the economy of the Arab Republic of Egypt is founded on the development of the spirit of enterprise.’ Yet Egypt’s market is anything but free: businesses tend to have very close, and mutually profitable, relationships with the state, in which the Mubarak family often participates and takes its cut. Hussein Salem, a hotel magnate, arms dealer and co-owner of the Eastern Mediterranean Gas Company – an Egyptian-Israeli consortium that recently secured a $2.5 billion contract to sell Egypt’s natural gas to Israel – is thought to be one of Mubarak’s frontmen; the gas began flowing in early 2008, just as Israel was tightening the siege of Gaza.more from Adam Shatz at the LRB here.
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Comments
The same mistake as Obama: the old lion is not yet at this last breath He will strike before dying mostly because his opponents didn't read Sun Tzu(or it was Scipio?):
Build your opponent a golden bridge to retreat across.
With no (honorable)retreat, the old Mubarak will fight back, the emperor will leave his throne for the last battle.
And Obama,culminating a long series of American president that don't understand foreign countries, is bringing disgrace by his attitude against a loyal ally; Obama acts are perceived as treason in Morocco, Jordan, Saudi...
Mubarak as an Arab leader will feel that his honor is at stake and as any proud Arab chief he will fight till the end.
Posted by: Mirel | Feb 2, 2011 1:12:13 PM
Mirel, that is a strange way to put it. Obviously the thugs and crooks in other arab countries feel that letting Mubarak go will be a disaster, but Obama has no rational reason to support Mubarak. He was being paid to provide a service and now that he has lost all credibility, he has become a liability. what honor? what loyalty? what bullshit!
The rational course from the american point of view is to try and get the army to kick him out asap. NO amount of repression by him will secure him for too long and American credibility (low to begin with) will suffer. As will Egyptians and Egypt.
About the other "allies". I call bullshit. The US owes them nothing. Its a quid pro quo. THey support US aims in some ways and the US supports them in some ways. They become a liability, they are dumped. And if they find a new sponsor they will dump the US in no time. HOnor? give me a break...Waste your sympathy on their populations, not on the billionaire crooks ruling with US support.
Posted by: omar | Feb 2, 2011 4:31:21 PM
Nobody wants to go without honor; at least not an Arab Leader.
An alliance is a pact based on trust and honor and mutual advantage.It is not something that, when there is no immediatly advantage, you may dump as an liability. Middle East is a place of treason and honor in the same time; you may commit treason against your ally, but you can't desonorate him in public as Obama did.
I have no simpathy for Mubarak; he is an old crook, but he kept the peace of his people and state in control. And Peace it's more important than many other issues; I had friends that died young.
Posted by: Mirel | Feb 4, 2011 6:36:21 PM
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