August 27, 2009
Japan and Turkey form an alliance to attack the US
In 1492, Columbus sailed west. In 1991, the Soviet Union collapsed. These two events bracketed the European age. Once, Mayans lived unaware that there were Mongols, who were unaware there were Zulus. From the 15th century onwards, European powers collectively overwhelmed the world, creating the first truly global geopolitical system in human history, to the point where the fate of Australian Aborigines was determined by British policy in Ireland and the price of bread in France turned on the weather in Minnesota. Europe simultaneously waged a 500-year-long civil war of increasing savagery, until the continent tore itself apart in the 20th century and lost its hold on the world. After the collapse of the Soviet Union, there was no longer a single European nation that could be considered a global power of the first rank. Another unprecedented event took place a decade or so earlier. For 500 years, whoever controlled the North Atlantic controlled Europe's access to the world and, with it, global trade. By 1980, the geography of trade had shifted, so that the Atlantic and Pacific were equally important, and any power that had direct access to both oceans had profound advantages. North America became the pivot of the global system, and whatever power dominated North America became its centre of gravity. That power is, of course, the United States.more from George Friedman at The New Statesman here.
Posted by Morgan Meis at 10:55 AM | Permalink






















Comments
You had me at "geopolitics," Mr. Friedman.
I'm willing to be the Prime Minister of this new Poland, fighting side by side with my American brothers to repel the Japanese and the Turks (in space)...
Posted by: Kris Kotarski | Aug 27, 2009 4:59:57 PM
I think next week I'll write my own version where Indonesia and Brazil are the most important nations of the world that will decide our future and totally, like, start war with America in the fifth dimension.
Geopolitical 'predictions' like this are written every other week by people in need of filler content for their columns.
Posted by: Jazz | Aug 27, 2009 6:51:34 PM
Yeah, but you're right, Jazz. Wait and see.
Posted by: Carlos | Aug 27, 2009 8:21:01 PM
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